Perugia vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Perugia
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Ascoli
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Perugia
İTB
2-3
HT 1-1
Ascoli
İTB
1-4
HT 0-3
Perugia
İTK
Perugia 2-1 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia squeezed past Ascoli 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Perugia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perugia had 46% of the ball to Ascoli's 54%, shots finished 7-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perugia and 0.83 for Ascoli.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Ascoli?
Perugia 2-1 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Ascoli?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Perugia 35%, draw 27%, Ascoli 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.