Renate 1-0 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.83/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.61
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 4-0 HT 2-0 Renate Renate İTC
21.02.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-2 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
20.09.2023 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-0
AWAY Atalanta II
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Renate vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate nicked a narrow win over Atalanta II 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Renate had 33% of the ball to Atalanta II's 67%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renate and 2.00 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Renate vs Atalanta II?

Renate 1-0 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Renate 29%, draw 33%, Atalanta II 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atalanta II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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