Atalanta II 2-2 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 34% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.01/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.34
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Renate
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2023 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
2-2
AWAY Renate
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II and Renate couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 58% of the ball to Renate's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Renate?

Atalanta II 2-2 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 46%, draw 27%, Renate 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTC More Italy - Serie C
21 Feb 2024
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