Pro Sesto 1-2 Alessandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.36
Over 2.5
40%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.81
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
8.01
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
70%
-10.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
30%
+10.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Sesto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alessandria EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +23%
1.04/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.62
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +85%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Sesto
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Alessandria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Alessandria Alessandria 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
11.04.2021 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto 0-1 HT 0-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
20.12.2020 Alessandria Alessandria 1-1 HT 1-0 Pro Sesto Pro Sesto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Sesto
1-2
AWAY Alessandria
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pro Sesto vs Alessandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alessandria squeezed past Pro Sesto 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alessandria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Sesto had 62% of the ball to Alessandria's 38%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pro Sesto and 0.67 for Alessandria.

What was the final score of Pro Sesto vs Alessandria?

Pro Sesto 1-2 Alessandria in the Italy - Serie C on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Sesto vs Alessandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Sesto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pro Sesto 37%, draw 29%, Alessandria 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Sesto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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21 Feb 2024
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