Atalanta II 4-0 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
52%
-14.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +25%
1.65/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
+5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Renate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-2 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
20.09.2023 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
4-0
AWAY Renate
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II swept aside Renate 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Atalanta II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 60% of the ball to Renate's 40%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Renate led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atalanta II and 1.50 for Renate.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Renate?

Atalanta II 4-0 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 38%, draw 30%, Renate 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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