Cavese 1-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
42%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.15
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
42%
Away Win
27%
+15.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
0.78/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.89
-36% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Casertana
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
21.03.2021 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 0-1 Cavese Cavese İTC
29.11.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
29.02.2020 Casertana Casertana 2-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
20.10.2019 Cavese Cavese 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-0
AWAY Casertana
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese edged past Casertana 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cavese had 42% of the ball to Casertana's 58%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Cavese and 1.20 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Casertana?

Cavese 1-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cavese 32%, draw 26%, Casertana 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casertana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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