Vila Nova 1-1 Remo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.45
Over
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.24
No
55%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.0
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
18%
5.62
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Remo The Market 30%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.13/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.66
-22% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.0 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Remo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.10 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
289 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2025 Remo Remo 2-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
11.12.2021 Remo Remo 0-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BRVK
09.12.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Remo Remo BRVK
09.10.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 1-0 Remo Remo BR2
09.07.2021 Remo Remo 0-1 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
02.11.2020 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Remo Remo BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
1-1
AWAY Remo
1.40 xG 0.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
310 Passes 209
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 5
38 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Remo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova and Remo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Vila Nova had 59% of the ball to Remo's 41%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 1.40 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vila Nova and 0.33 for Remo.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Remo?

Vila Nova 1-1 Remo in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Remo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 41%, draw 30%, Remo 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vila Nova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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