Operario PR 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.45
Over
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.24
No
61%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.0
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
16%
5.61
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.11/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.94
-12% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.7 Crosses 22.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.42 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 303
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2025 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-3 HT 0-2 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
19.12.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-0 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
23.09.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
07.09.2019 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
05.05.2019 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 2-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-1
AWAY Cuiaba
0.83 xG 0.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
354 Passes 189
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR and Cuiaba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Operario PR at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Operario PR had 62% of the ball to Cuiaba's 38%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.83 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Operario PR and 1.60 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Cuiaba?

Operario PR 1-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 43%, draw 31%, Cuiaba 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Operario PR), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
14 Sep 2025
00:30 Vila Nova vs Remo Analysis →