Sundby 1-0 Lyseng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyseng EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sundby
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Lyseng
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
14.06.2025 Sundby 2-1 HT 2-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
03.05.2025 Lyseng Lyseng 2-2 Sundby DAN3
08.03.2025 Sundby 0-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
31.08.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 1-1 HT 0-0 Sundby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
1-0
AWAY Lyseng
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sundby edged past Lyseng 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sundby as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sundby had 46% of the ball to Lyseng's 54%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sundby and 1.25 for Lyseng.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Lyseng?

Sundby 1-0 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Lyseng?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sundby win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sundby 53%, draw 26%, Lyseng 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sundby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sundby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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