Bronshoj BK 3-2 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bronshoj BK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.01/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.70
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +87%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bronshoj BK
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Naesby
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 2-0 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
26.04.2025 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 2-4 Naesby Naesby DAN3
26.10.2024 Naesby Naesby 1-1 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
03.08.2024 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bronshoj BK
3-2
AWAY Naesby
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bronshoj BK vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bronshoj BK nicked a narrow win over Naesby 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bronshoj BK had 60% of the ball to Naesby's 40%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Naesby led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bronshoj BK and 2.00 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Bronshoj BK vs Naesby?

Bronshoj BK 3-2 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bronshoj BK vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bronshoj BK 31%, draw 26%, Naesby 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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