Bronshoj BK 2-4 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bronshoj BK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 30%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.95/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.63
+10% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bronshoj BK
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Naesby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 Naesby Naesby 1-1 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
03.08.2024 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
POST-MATCH Bronshoj BK vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby saw off Bronshoj BK 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bronshoj BK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bronshoj BK and 1.00 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Bronshoj BK vs Naesby?

Bronshoj BK 2-4 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bronshoj BK vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bronshoj BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bronshoj BK 42%, draw 29%, Naesby 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bronshoj BK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bronshoj BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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