Sundby 0-3 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sundby
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Holstebro BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2025 Sundby 1-3 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
17.08.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Sundby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
0-3
AWAY Holstebro BK
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK cruised past Sundby 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sundby at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Sundby had 51% of the ball to Holstebro BK's 49%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Holstebro BK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sundby and 2.00 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Holstebro BK?

Sundby 0-3 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sundby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sundby 49%, draw 24%, Holstebro BK 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sundby), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sundby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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