Holstebro BK 1-1 Sundby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sundby EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+47% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
1-1
AWAY Sundby
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK and Sundby shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 44% of the ball to Sundby's 56%, shots finished 19-15.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Sundby?

Holstebro BK 1-1 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Sundby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 42%, draw 21%, Sundby 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ BTTS No
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