17/08/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Odder vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
28%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
36%
57%
Under 2.5
46%
43%
Over 2.5
54%
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
56%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Odder v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Odder
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Holbaek
EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-79%
/
+150%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
294 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
364 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Odder vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Odder and Holbaek couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Odder vs Holbaek?
Odder 1-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Odder vs Holbaek?
Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Odder 34%, draw 28%, Holbaek 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Holbaek), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Holbaek)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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DAN3
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17 Aug 2024