Sundby 1-3 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sundby EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.26/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.11
-29% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sundby
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Holstebro BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Sundby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sundby
1-3
AWAY Holstebro BK
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sundby vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK beat Sundby 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Holstebro BK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sundby had 57% of the ball to Holstebro BK's 43%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Sundby vs Holstebro BK?

Sundby 1-3 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sundby vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sundby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sundby 39%, draw 24%, Holstebro BK 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sundby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN3 More Denmark - 3rd Division
22 Mar 2025
15:30 VSK Arhus vs Odder Analysis →
15:45 FA 2000 vs Lyseng Analysis →
16:00 Naesby vs Brabrand Analysis →
16:00 Bronshoj BK vs Holbaek Analysis →