Naesby 2-3 Brabrand — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Brabrand EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.76/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.50
+54% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +148%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Brabrand
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2024 Brabrand Brabrand 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
08.05.2021 Brabrand Brabrand 1-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
29.08.2020 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
05.10.2019 Naesby Naesby 0-0 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
04.10.2014 Brabrand Brabrand 2-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
03.05.2014 Brabrand Brabrand 3-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
2-3
AWAY Brabrand
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Brabrand
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brabrand edged past Naesby 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Brabrand made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Naesby had 68% of the ball to Brabrand's 32%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brabrand led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naesby and 1.33 for Brabrand.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Brabrand?

Naesby 2-3 Brabrand in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Brabrand?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naesby 38%, draw 26%, Brabrand 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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