Brabrand 1-0 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brabrand EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 33%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
3.01/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.31
+67% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brabrand
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Naesby
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2021 Brabrand Brabrand 1-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
29.08.2020 Naesby Naesby 2-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
05.10.2019 Naesby Naesby 0-0 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
04.10.2014 Brabrand Brabrand 2-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
03.05.2014 Brabrand Brabrand 3-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brabrand
1-0
AWAY Naesby
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brabrand vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brabrand nicked a narrow win over Naesby 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brabrand as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brabrand had 44% of the ball to Naesby's 56%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Brabrand had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Brabrand and 0.60 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Brabrand vs Naesby?

Brabrand 1-0 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brabrand vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brabrand win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brabrand 41%, draw 27%, Naesby 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brabrand) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brabrand) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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