Avarta 0-1 FA 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FA 2000 EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.80/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.36
-40% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
0W-1D-4L
AWAY FA 2000
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 7
02.08.2022 Avarta Avarta 1-3 HT 0-2 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAK
03.08.2021 Avarta Avarta 1-3 HT 1-2 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAK
02.05.2021 Avarta Avarta 2-2 HT 0-1 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN2
29.08.2020 FA 2000 FA 2000 1-0 HT 1-0 Avarta Avarta DAN2
19.10.2019 FA 2000 FA 2000 1-0 HT 1-0 Avarta Avarta DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avarta
0-1
AWAY FA 2000
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avarta vs FA 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA 2000 nicked a narrow win over Avarta 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had FA 2000 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avarta had 58% of the ball to FA 2000's 42%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FA 2000 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Avarta and 2.00 for FA 2000.

What was the final score of Avarta vs FA 2000?

Avarta 0-1 FA 2000 in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs FA 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avarta 30%, draw 28%, FA 2000 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FA 2000), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FA 2000) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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