Naesby 1-1 Bronshoj BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bronshoj BK EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.87/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.99
+4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
225 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bronshoj BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
1-1
AWAY Bronshoj BK
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Bronshoj BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby and Bronshoj BK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Naesby had 62% of the ball to Bronshoj BK's 38%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Naesby 1-1 Bronshoj BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naesby 45%, draw 27%, Bronshoj BK 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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