Brabrand 3-1 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brabrand EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.33/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.53
+30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brabrand
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Holbaek
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 0-0 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN3
10.04.2021 Brabrand Brabrand 1-0 HT 1-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
21.11.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 3-1 HT 2-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
POST-MATCH Brabrand vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brabrand beat Holbaek 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brabrand as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brabrand and 1.00 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Brabrand vs Holbaek?

Brabrand 3-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brabrand vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brabrand win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brabrand 45%, draw 28%, Holbaek 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brabrand) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brabrand) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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