Naesby 2-1 Bronshoj BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bronshoj BK EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.73/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.87
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bronshoj BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2025 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 2-4 Naesby Naesby DAN3
26.10.2024 Naesby Naesby 1-1 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK DAN3
03.08.2024 Bronshoj BK Bronshoj BK 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
2-1
AWAY Bronshoj BK
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Bronshoj BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby edged past Bronshoj BK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Naesby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Naesby had 53% of the ball to Bronshoj BK's 47%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naesby and 1.33 for Bronshoj BK.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Naesby 2-1 Bronshoj BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Bronshoj BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bronshoj BK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naesby 34%, draw 28%, Bronshoj BK 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bronshoj BK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bronshoj BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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