Avarta 2-5 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.29/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.91
-22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Holstebro BK
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 6-3 Avarta Avarta DAN3
10.11.2024 Avarta Avarta 2-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
31.08.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
21.10.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN3
13.08.2023 Avarta Avarta 0-3 HT 0-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avarta
2-5
AWAY Holstebro BK
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avarta vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK ran out comfortable winners over Avarta 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Holstebro BK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Avarta had 53% of the ball to Holstebro BK's 47%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Avarta and 2.20 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Avarta vs Holstebro BK?

Avarta 2-5 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avarta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avarta 38%, draw 26%, Holstebro BK 35%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Avarta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avarta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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