Holstebro BK 6-3 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
44%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+11.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -25%
1.78/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.73
+2% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Avarta
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Avarta Avarta 2-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
31.08.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
21.10.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN3
13.08.2023 Avarta Avarta 0-3 HT 0-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstebro BK
6-3
AWAY Avarta
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK swept aside Avarta 6-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Avarta at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Holstebro BK had 43% of the ball to Avarta's 57%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avarta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Holstebro BK and 1.00 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Avarta?

Holstebro BK 6-3 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avarta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 32%, draw 26%, Avarta 43%. The final score 6-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avarta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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