Isidro Metapan 3-1 Hércules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hércules EU Bookmakers 19%
-17% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/5.00
-23% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -70%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Hércules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan got the better of Hércules 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Hércules?

Isidro Metapan 3-1 Hércules in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Hércules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 58%, draw 22%, Hércules 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
14 Sep 2025
04:00 Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila Analysis →
04:00 Inter FA vs Zacatecoluca Analysis →