Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.74/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.93
+8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +47%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Aguila
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
07.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
10.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
16.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.02.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo nicked a narrow win over Aguila 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.17 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 45%, draw 28%, Aguila 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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