Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 16 Sep 2024

Luis Angel Firpo
1-0 HT 1-0
Aguila
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luis Angel Firpo v Aguila — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -1%
1.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.84
+19% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aguila
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.02.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
02.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.04.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
20.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.04.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Aguila 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Luis Angel Firpo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 31%, draw 29%, Aguila 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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