Aguila 3-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2025

Aguila
3-1 HT 2-1
Luis Angel Firpo
📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Luis Angel Firpo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.51/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.32
+17% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
10.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
16.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.02.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
02.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila got the better of Luis Angel Firpo 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Aguila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aguila and 1.67 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Aguila 3-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aguila 36%, draw 31%, Luis Angel Firpo 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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