Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.83/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.26
-38% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dragon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Dragon Dragon 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
18.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
22.04.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-2 HT 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.02.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
16.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
21.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco and Dragon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.33 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 34%, draw 31%, Dragon 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dragon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dragon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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