Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 18 Nov 2024

Fuerte San Francisco
3-1 HT 1-1
Dragon
📅18/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fuerte San Francisco v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 33%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.60/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.32
-54% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Dragon
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-2 HT 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.02.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
16.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
21.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco saw off Dragon 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Fuerte San Francisco found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dragon led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.75 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon?

Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 18/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 34%, draw 32%, Dragon 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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