Dragon 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Apr 2024

Dragon
3-2 HT 1-2
Fuerte San Francisco
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.68
Over 2.5
30%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.85
No
66%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
56%
+14.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
44%
-14.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
50%
-16.2pp
66%
BTTS No
50%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Fuerte San Francisco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.33/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
+6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.02.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
16.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
21.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon edged past Fuerte San Francisco 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Dragon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dragon had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dragon and 1.00 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Dragon 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dragon 40%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dragon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dragon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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