Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Feb 2024

Fuerte San Francisco
0-1 HT 0-1
Dragon
📅19/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
28%
+11.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fuerte San Francisco v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
0.98/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
-29% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dragon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
21.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Dragon found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.50 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 33%, draw 28%, Dragon 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dragon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dragon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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