Aguila 3-0 Jocoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jocoro EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.88/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.06
+20% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Jocoro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.12.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-0 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
13.11.2023 Aguila Aguila 2-0 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
18.09.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.05.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-3 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.04.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.02.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Jocoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila ran out comfortable winners over Jocoro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aguila and 0.33 for Jocoro.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Jocoro?

Aguila 3-0 Jocoro in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Jocoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aguila 58%, draw 23%, Jocoro 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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