Dragon 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 Feb 2025

Dragon
0-1
Fuerte San Francisco
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Fuerte San Francisco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.35/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.53
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.11.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 HT 1-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
22.04.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-2 HT 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.02.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
16.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
21.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-1 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco squeezed past Dragon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Fuerte San Francisco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dragon had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Dragon and 1.60 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Dragon 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dragon 37%, draw 30%, Fuerte San Francisco 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dragon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dragon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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