Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.16/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.87
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Aguila
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
16.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.02.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
02.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.04.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo beat Aguila 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Luis Angel Firpo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.67 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 32%, draw 34%, Aguila 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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