Aguila 3-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 23 Nov 2024

Aguila
3-1 HT 2-0
Luis Angel Firpo
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguila v Luis Angel Firpo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.45/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.37
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1

Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
16.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.02.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.11.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
02.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.04.2023 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
20.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila got the better of Luis Angel Firpo 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Aguila and 1.33 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Aguila 3-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aguila 47%, draw 21%, Luis Angel Firpo 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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