Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Guadalupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

Deportivo Saprissa
3-1 HT 2-0
Guadalupe
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Costa Rica - Premier League – 2025/2026

Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.29
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
19%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
73%
+1.2pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.2pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Saprissa v Guadalupe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.37/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.64
+16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +24%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Guadalupe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.03.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 0-1 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
23.01.2023 Guadalupe Guadalupe 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
03.10.2022 Guadalupe Guadalupe 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
05.05.2022 Guadalupe Guadalupe 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
28.02.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-1 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
15.10.2021 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 0-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA

Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Guadalupe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-1
AWAY Guadalupe
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa beat Guadalupe 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 59% of the ball to Guadalupe's 41%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.67 for Guadalupe.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 74%, draw 16%, Guadalupe 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5
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