Alajuelense 2-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +24%
1.47/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.14
-18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
15.01.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-3 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.10.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.07.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
27.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-4 HT 0-3 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
21.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense saw off Municipal Liberia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.67 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Alajuelense 2-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 56%, draw 22%, Municipal Liberia 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
14 Sep 2025
02:00 CS Herediano vs Sporting San Jose Analysis →
20:00 Deportivo Saprissa vs Guadalupe Analysis →