Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Municipal Liberia — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-3
HT 0-2
Alajuelense
KOSTA
3-3
HT 0-2
Municipal Liberia
KOSTA
Alajuelense 2-2 Municipal Liberia — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense and Municipal Liberia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alajuelense at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Alajuelense had 67% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 33%, shots finished 15-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Alajuelense and 1.40 for Municipal Liberia.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?
Alajuelense 2-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 56%, draw 24%, Municipal Liberia 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.