Municipal Liberia 1-2 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 52%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.95/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.08
-20% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-4 HT 0-3 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
21.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.07.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over Municipal Liberia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Alajuelense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.50 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Municipal Liberia 1-2 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 33%, draw 27%, Alajuelense 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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