Municipal Liberia 0-4 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.17/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.23
-4% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Alajuelense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.07.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
0-4
AWAY Alajuelense
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense cruised past Municipal Liberia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alajuelense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 57% of the ball to Alajuelense's 43%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Municipal Liberia 0-4 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 36%, draw 28%, Alajuelense 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ BTTS No
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