Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
2.62/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.25
+27% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Guanacasteca
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 3-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
02.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
31.07.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
13.03.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-3 HT 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
16.01.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-1
AWAY Guanacasteca
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa got the better of Guanacasteca 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 51% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 49%, shots finished 19-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.50 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 57%, draw 26%, Guanacasteca 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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