Perez Zeledon 3-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.27/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.75
-30% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perez Zeledon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
26.07.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 3-3 HT 2-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
30.03.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 2-1 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
25.01.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
23.10.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
20.08.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.04.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perez Zeledon
3-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Perez Zeledon vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perez Zeledon got the better of Santos de Guapiles 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perez Zeledon as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perez Zeledon had 44% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 56%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos de Guapiles led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Perez Zeledon and 1.67 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Perez Zeledon vs Santos de Guapiles?

Perez Zeledon 3-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perez Zeledon vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perez Zeledon win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Perez Zeledon 55%, draw 24%, Santos de Guapiles 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perez Zeledon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perez Zeledon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
17 Oct 2024
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