Santos de Guapiles 3-3 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.58/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.40
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
30.03.2024 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 2-1 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
25.01.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
23.10.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
20.08.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.04.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
12.02.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-3 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles and Perez Zeledon couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santos de Guapiles at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.33 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon?

Santos de Guapiles 3-3 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 42%, draw 32%, Perez Zeledon 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✗ Under 2.5
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