Santos de Guapiles 2-1 Perez Zeledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Perez Zeledon EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.76/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.48
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Perez Zeledon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
23.10.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-0 HT 1-0 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
20.08.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.04.2023 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
12.02.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-3 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
30.09.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-1 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon KOSTA
27.04.2022 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2-1
AWAY Perez Zeledon
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles nicked a narrow win over Perez Zeledon 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santos de Guapiles as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos de Guapiles had 51% of the ball to Perez Zeledon's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.17 for Perez Zeledon.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon?

Santos de Guapiles 2-1 Perez Zeledon in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Perez Zeledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 51%, draw 26%, Perez Zeledon 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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25 Jan 2024
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