CS Herediano 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
0.98/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.06
-28% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
15.12.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
14.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTK
08.10.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
07.08.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 HT 1-2 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
15.05.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 2-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano edged past Deportivo Saprissa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; CS Herediano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 51% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 49%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CS Herediano and 1.17 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?

CS Herediano 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 33%, draw 31%, Deportivo Saprissa 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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