Guanacasteca 4-2 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.63/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.88
+4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.04.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.02.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
28.08.2022 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 4-1 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
31.07.2022 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
4-2
AWAY Sporting San Jose
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca got the better of Sporting San Jose 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guanacasteca as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 58% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 42%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.50 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Sporting San Jose?

Guanacasteca 4-2 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 44%, draw 32%, Sporting San Jose 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guanacasteca), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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