Alajuelense 2-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.18/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.20
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-3 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
17.10.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.07.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
27.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-4 HT 0-3 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
21.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense saw off Municipal Liberia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alajuelense had 66% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 34%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alajuelense and 1.17 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Alajuelense 2-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 58%, draw 21%, Municipal Liberia 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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8 May 2025
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