Municipal Liberia 1-3 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.21/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.11
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.07.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
27.03.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-4 HT 0-3 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
21.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.10.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 3-3 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.07.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-3
AWAY Alajuelense
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense saw off Municipal Liberia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Alajuelense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 45% of the ball to Alajuelense's 55%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.33 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Municipal Liberia 1-3 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 33%, draw 30%, Alajuelense 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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