Kelen vs Tarpa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kelen v Tarpa — Team-Based Signals
Kelen 2-2 Tarpa — Actual Match Statistics
Kelen and Tarpa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tarpa at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Kelen had 50% of the ball to Tarpa's 50%, shots finished 11-15.
What was the final score of Kelen vs Tarpa?
Kelen 2-2 Tarpa in the Hungary - Cup on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kelen vs Tarpa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kelen 19%, draw 16%, Tarpa 65%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tarpa), BTTS No went the other way.