Kecskemeti TE 3-2 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ujpest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 444
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
15.12.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
01.09.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-3 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
10.05.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-3 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
17.02.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
21.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 5-3 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE edged past Ujpest 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.50 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest?

Kecskemeti TE 3-2 Ujpest in the Hungary - Cup on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 21%, draw 25%, Ujpest 54%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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